A poll of likely voters in Alaska shows Hillary Clinton with a growing lead over Donald Trump particularly with younger voters and women, mirroring trends seen in the lower-48. Craciun Research surveyed 400 voters and found 47-43 leaning for the Democratic nominee with less than two weeks until Election Day.
This most recent polling verifies the trend identified by Moore Information and Lake Research polling showing growing support for Clinton, and that the Last Frontier, typically a solid red state, may be turning purple. Trump’s support with likely voters meanwhile has dipped 4% since mid-October.
The Gender Gap is at levels not experienced in the recent past with women supporting Clinton by a margin of 17% (55% to 38% respectively). Further impacting the race is the unprecedented endorsement of Clinton by the Alaska Federation of Natives board. In the rural North and Northwest regions of the State, the poll shows Clinton is beating Trump by a margin of almost 5:1 (74% to 15%).
The poll may also shed light on who the 18% still undecided voters may pick. “If you look at non-partisan voters, Secretary Clinton is winning by a margin of 15 points. That may give you a sense of how the undecided voters will lean on Election Day,” according to pollster Jean Craciun.
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Craciun Research Methodology
The purpose of the research was to understand Alaskan voters’ choice for President in the November 2016 election.
Included in this research report are findings from a statewide political survey of Alaska registered super-voters, who have voted in two out of the last three statewide general elections.
The respondents were chosen at random from cleaned registered voter lists and controlled for gender, age, political party and electoral districts to approximate historical primary election voting behavior.
The interviews were conducted with voters, October 21-26, 2016 by professional interviewers. The telephone survey averaged three minutes in length, with a total sample size of Four hundred registered voters (n=400), margin of error (+/-4.9%).